Signal
Macroeconomics
Interest rates, inflation, policy, liquidity, currencies, capital flows, and economic cycles.
AI-assisted financial intelligence
Markets move before the headlines explain them.
PSI Capital is a founder-led financial intelligence company covering the energy, commodity, shipping, liquidity, geopolitical, macroeconomic, and capital-market forces that move markets before consensus catches up.
We monitor the market's physical surface at machine scale, but every published view is interpreted, edited, and owned by human judgment.
Machine-scale scanning. Human-owned interpretation.
Signal Surface
Market systems monitor
PSI / 01
Live framework
Coordinates
Energy
Refinery runs / product cracks
Commodities
Inventories / trade stress
Shipping
Freight rates / chokepoints
Liquidity
Policy / capital flows
Geopolitics
Sanctions / supply risk
ScanValidateInterpret
The PSI thesis
The signal beneath the market.
Every market move begins as a signal.
Sometimes it appears in oil inventories. Sometimes in freight rates. Sometimes in refinery outages. Sometimes in sanctions. Sometimes in central bank liquidity. Sometimes in capital flows before the narrative changes.
PSI Capital exists to find, explain, and publish the signal beneath the market.
Understand the PSI ThesisMarket surface
Intelligence themes.
Signal
Commodities
Oil, gas, metals, agriculture, inventories, trade flows, and physical supply stress.
Signal
Energy
Crude oil, refined products, gas, refinery activity, energy security, and supply disruption.
Signal
Geopolitics
Wars, sanctions, elections, chokepoints, trade restrictions, and policy risk.
Signal
Inflation
Food, fuel, freight, currency, wages, policy, and supply-chain transmission.
Signal
Shipping and Logistics
Freight rates, ports, trade routes, bottlenecks, and maritime disruption.
Signal
Capital Markets
Equities, sectors, sentiment, liquidity, valuations, and portfolio implications.
Signal
India-Global Linkages
How global macro, energy, commodity, and capital-flow shifts affect India.
Why it matters
Not more market noise. Market intelligence with a pulse.
PSI Capital creates research-led financial intelligence for serious market participants who need deeper context behind market movement. Our work is built around one question: what is the market telling us before the headline catches up?
- Market intelligence notes
- Deep research reports
- Macro and commodity explainers
- Geopolitical market analysis
- AI-assisted financial content
- Newsletter and social-first commentary
- Custom research briefings
- Video-led market education
The PSI Intelligence Loop
AI does the gathering. Human judgment does the deciding.
AI helps PSI scan, structure, compare, and draft at a speed and breadth a small team could not reach alone. But no view is published on AI's authority. Every interpretation is judged, edited, and owned by a named analyst.
Scan
Track market-moving information across macro, commodities, geopolitics, logistics, policy, media, and capital markets.
Validate
Filter sources, verify relevance, and separate credible signals from noise.
Connect
Map relationships between events, assets, sectors, economies, and historical patterns.
Interpret
Apply human market judgment to identify what matters, what may follow, and what could be underpriced.
Publish
Convert intelligence into notes, reports, explainers, videos, newsletters, and briefings.
Intelligence desk
Featured intelligence.
Latest PSI Capital notes and social-first video posts, linking readers directly to the newsletter and research stream.
Newsletter note
Substack
The Market Priced Peace. The Oil System Didn't.
A PSI Capital note on why market pricing can move faster than the physical oil system can adjust.
PSI CapitalSubstackEnergy systems
Read on Substack ->Newsletter note
Substack
The Talks Came Back. The System Still Didn't.
A short intelligence read on talks, supply confidence, and the parts of the system that still remain constrained.
PSI CapitalSubstackMarket structure
Read on Substack ->Newsletter note
Substack
The Market Is Still Counting Spare It Cannot Actually Use
A note on spare capacity, usable barrels, and the gap between headline comfort and operational reality.
PSI CapitalSubstackOil capacity
Read on Substack ->Newsletter note
Substack
Second Wave. Different Barrel.
A systems view of how the next oil shock can arrive through a different channel than the market expects.
PSI CapitalSubstackCommodity risk
Read on Substack ->Newsletter note
Substack
The Toll Booth at the Mouth of the World
A maritime and energy-market note on chokepoints, transit risk, and the cost of strategic geography.
PSI CapitalSubstackShipping
Read on Substack ->Newsletter note
Substack
The Invoice Has Left the Barrel
A market note on how oil risk can move from the barrel into the broader economic invoice.
PSI CapitalSubstackInflation
Read on Substack ->Newsletter note
Substack
Who Pays for $110-120 Oil?
A PSI Capital read on oil-price burden, demand pressure, and the market participants exposed to higher energy costs.
PSI CapitalSubstackOil price risk
Read on Substack ->
X Video
The Cobalt Supply Illusion
The macro consensus expected oversupply from battery chemistry shifts and record DRC output. PSI asks why the market is still starved: the mine is not the supply.
@psi_capX videoCobalt
Watch on X ->
X Video
Gold Is Yours Until It Is Frozen
A short explainer on gold, custody, and the moment ownership stops being the same thing as access.
@psi_capX videoGold
Watch on X ->
X Video
Hormuz Calm Is Not Normalization
Lower crude and a recent deal created calm, but shipping through Hormuz has not returned to pre-war levels and key inventories continue to draw.
@psi_capX videoHormuz
Watch on X ->
X Video
A Chokepoint Became an Invoice
Iran built chokepoint authority. The escort plan collapsed, regional support faded, and the Persian Gulf Strait Authority kept operating.
@psi_capX videoChokepoint
Watch on X ->Research products
Choose your intelligence layer.
PSI Daily Signal
Coming SoonShort market intelligence notes on important macro, commodity, geopolitical, and market events.
Habit-forming daily or event-led intelligence.
PSI Weekly Intelligence Brief
Coming SoonA recurring premium brief covering major signals across macro, commodities, geopolitics, inflation, shipping, and markets.
Subscription anchor product.
PSI Deep Research
InquiryLong-form reports on oil shocks, inflation pathways, trade disruption, central bank liquidity, commodity cycles, and India exposure.
Premium credibility and paid research product.
PSI Explains
Coming SoonStructured explainers that make complex market events understandable without oversimplifying them.
SEO, education, and social distribution.
PSI Founder View
Coming SoonArun Kejriwal commentary, essays, video notes, and high-conviction interpretation.
Human authority and trust.
PSI Custom Intelligence
InquiryBespoke research, briefings, and content partnerships for HNIs, wealth professionals, family offices, institutions, and media platforms.
High-value commercial revenue line.
Founder-led interpretation
Founder-led interpretation
Founder Desk
Arun Kejriwal
Co-Founder & Chief Research Strategist
30+ yearsMacroMarketsMedia
Human accountability
Research judgment anchored by market experience.
PSI Capital combines machine-scale research gathering with founder-led interpretation, so every published view is shaped by market context, accountability, and editorial judgment.
- 30+ years in financial research and investments
- Specialist in macroeconomics, portfolio advisory, and market intelligence
- Public markets commentator regularly featured in media
- Drives research architecture, market insights, and strategic intelligence systems
Need intelligence beyond headlines?
For custom research, market briefings, financial content partnerships, media inquiries, and institutional intelligence requests, connect with PSI Capital.
Work With PSI